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The Iowa caucuses are a week away. Here's what the polls are saying.

With the caucuses just under two weeks away, poll data shows former President Donald Trump with a significant lead both statewide and nationally.

DES MOINES, Iowa — The Iowa caucuses are less than two weeks away, as Republican presidential hopefuls make their final rounds across the Hawkeye state. 

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As of Tuesday, Jan. 2, poll data from ABC News' FiveThirtyEight shows former President Donald Trump still holding a significant lead over the other candidates nationally and in the state of Iowa. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is next in line at the state level but is now tied with former UN ambassador Nikki Haley nationally — both favored by 11.3% of pollsters at the time of publication. 

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In Iowa specifically, Trump is ahead of DeSantis by about 31.6%. DeSantis holds a more favorable lead in Iowa versus nationally, with a difference of 7% between the two sets of data. Haley is also favored more by Iowans compared to national data. Other candidates Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie and Asa Hutchinson, who have not qualified for the next CNN debate in Des Moines on Jan. 10, sit in the bottom half.

Here's a breakdown of the numbers:

Nationally

  • Donald Trump: 61.3%
  • Ron DeSantis: 11.3%
  • Nikki Haley: 11.3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy: 4%
  • Chris Christie: 3.8%
  • Asa Hutchinson: 0.6%

Iowa

  • Donald Trump: 50%
  • Ron DeSantis: 18.4%
  • Nikki Haley: 15.7%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy: 6%
  • Chris Christie: 3.7%
  • Asa Hutchinson: 0.5%

Live data: How are the candidates faring in Iowa?


Live data: How are the candidates faring nationally?

Both Democrats and Republicans will host their caucus events on Monday, Jan. 15. Iowa Republicans are prepared to make a selection for their presidential candidate. However, due to changes to their caucus process, Democrats won't be casting their presidential ballots that night. Instead, they will only be meeting to conduct party business, such as electing unbound delegates and alternate delegates to county conventions, electing county central committee members and discussing platform resolutions. Voters will fill out presidential preference cards that will be submitted by mail, and participants can request a card through Monday, Feb. 19. The Democrats' results will be announced on March 5, also known as Super Tuesday. You can request one of those preference cards here.

For information on how to find your 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucus location, click here. For Democrats, that information can be found here. Voters must be registered party members to participate in the party's caucus, and you cannot participate in more than one caucus event.

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